No 2 (2019)

ANALOG OF THE METHOD OF DIVIDING THE LAGRANGE MULTIPLIER TO SUMMANDS IN A BOUNDARY PROBLEM OF OPTIMAL CONTROL FOR GOURSAT - DARBOUX SYSTEMS
Mansimov K.B., Suleymanova V.A.

Abstract

We study a boundary problem of optimal control, described by a system of second-order hyperbolic equations with Goursat boundary conditions. A necessary optimality condition of the Pontryagin maximum principle type is established under the usual smoothness conditions for such problems. For the proof we use an analog of the scheme proposed in [8].
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):7-22
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INFORMATION SYSTEMS SOFTWARE DEVELOPMENT PROCESS CONTROL
Gusev S.S.

Abstract

The purpose of this work is to provide decision support for the management of software development information systems. The novelty of the results is determined by the fact that the developed models and algorithms for managing the process of developing information systems software provide an increase in the quality of management decisions by ensuring the accounting of uncertainty in the estimates of experts at the initial stage of the project, automated calculation of the volume of changes as a proportion of requirements implemented in the previous stages/iterations and affected by the implementation of new requirements, based on the calculated relationships between the elements of the project and the automated calculation of estimates of the complexity and timing of software development based on fuzzy inference systems, dynamically adjusted as retrospective data are accumulated.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):23-39
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METHODS OF IMPROVING NEURAL NETWORK SYSTEMS EFFICIENCY IN CONDITIONS OF LIMITED DATA SETS WITH COMPLEX CORRELATIONS
Cherepanov F.M.

Abstract

Methods are described that make it possible to increase the efficiency of using neural network systems used in areas for which it is difficult to collect a large amount of data to form a training set: a method for detecting anomalous observations in a variety of empirical data, a method for calculating the informativeness of the input parameters of a neural network model, a method for tuning the sensitivity of learning algorithms to errors first and second kind and two methods to improve the accuracy of forecasting the development of complex processes in time using neural networks models.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):40-61
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METHODS, FRAMEWORKS AND VIRTUAL PLATFORMS IN DOMAIN OF PORTABLE SELF-DRIVING VEHICLES CONTROL ADJUSTED FOR UNDETERMINED DYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT CONDITIONS: LITERATURE REVIEW
Meyer A.I.

Abstract

The goal of implementing autopilot system into vehicle is the automation of its movement on a dynamic landscape. Vehicle movement task can be considered as a particular case of a classification task, because the problem of every autopilot system is an optimal set of agent actions selection depending on the vehicle state. Over the recent years a great success has been achieved in self-driving vehicles learning. This article is about current approaches to implementation of autopilot system with the focus on portable vehicles. Particularly, it covers neural networks’ algorithms, appropriate for such project, and analyses them between each other according to available state-of-the-art reference sources. Work quality, learning speed, convergence guarantee and AI tasks stack coverage extent were chosen as the comparative characteristics. As a result, DQN (Deep Q-Learning) algorithm was chosen as the best option for implementation in terms of both virtual and real portable self-driving vehicles. This research paper also contains basic details about useful software solutions: virtual platforms and frameworks.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):62-83
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SHORT-TERM FORECASTING OF TIME SERIES BASED ON EVOLUTIONAL ALGORITHMS
Danilov M.V.

Abstract

The paper proposes a method of short-term forecasting based on the identification of the spanning algebraic sequence c using evolutionary algorithms. This method is especially effective in the case of short time series. When there is not enough data for training standard models, the developed method still allows to extract the maximum available information on the process behavior in order to extrapolate it to future points in time.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):84-100
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RATING AND CONTROL OF COMPLEX OBJECTS IN UNCERTAINTY CASES
Alekseev A.O.

Abstract

Statement of the rating and control of complex objects problem under uncertainty is formulated. Seven methods are presented for assessing the state of individual properties of a complex object, designed for various conditions of uncertainty. The source of uncertainty can serve as objective tools of control, that is, estimates of particular properties of an object can be either exact values on a set of real numbers or interval estimates, in addition to this, the state of individual properties can have a probability distribution about the possible state of an object. The qualitatively described properties of an object are subject to uncertainty, the source of which is the subjectivity of the judgments of experts involved in their evaluation. It is important that experts can also evaluate quantitative indicators, for example, in cases where the tools of objective control are not available, that is, subjective input methods are applicable not only to qualitative indicators, but also quantitative ones. In order to aggregate information about private properties, it is proposed to use the matrix mechanisms of complex assessment that are known and obtained by the author. The defined matrix mechanisms of complex evaluation are as follows: the tree fuzzy rating mechanism with an additive-multiplicative approach and two max-min approaches to set theoretic operations, as well as two continuous complex evaluation mechanisms. Six model examples demonstrate procedures of aggregating two criteria with accurate real values, as well as with different uncertainty such as interval values, fuzzy values and F-Fuzzy values.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):103-131
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MODELING AND FORECASTING OF DOMESTIC AND INTERNATIONAL TOURISM IN TURKEY
Zatonskiy A.V., Tugashova L.G., Barova A.E.

Abstract

An importance of tourism study and forecasting for the near future is proved. A criteria and factors affecting the object are choose from a set of publicly available annual series of selected private. The choice is justified. Normalized values of criteria and factors are calculated. A general criterion for assessing the quality of the object under study on the basis of private ones is compiled. The mutual correlation of factors is investigated. A linear multifactor model is built. It was proved that it cannot be used for prediction because of its poor predictive properties. A regression-differential model of the second order is constructed. An optimal combination of interpolation factors is selected. The forecast of factors and dynamics of changes in the object is calculated for the next three years. The influence of changes in controlled and uncontrollable factors on the object is investigated. The possibility of influencing an object under conditions of negative environmental effects is investigated. Recommendations for compensating of the negative impact are given as a decision support.
Applied Mathematics and Control Sciences. 2019;(2):135-150
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